Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 9.088680 10.395694 11.837161 13.546948 15.522474 17.736630 20.410991
2025-09-07 7.562904 9.316974 11.408942 14.096073 17.468235 21.575717 26.982215
2025-09-14 6.521896 8.468586 10.923268 14.262014 18.710311 24.468227 32.543400
2025-09-21 5.712892 7.740689 10.415878 14.228778 19.565105 26.829054 37.569974
2025-09-28 5.048841 7.094356 9.899498 14.062077 20.141637 28.788283 42.181145
2025-10-05 4.709510 6.841218 9.870149 14.534783 21.621815 32.120817 49.104340
2025-10-12 4.396573 6.581650 9.787943 14.895582 22.941040 35.315176 56.151693
2025-10-19 4.167759 6.416288 9.816234 15.406755 24.517165 39.034401 64.429395
2025-10-26 3.762809 5.936553 9.311067 15.016723 24.598071 40.352940 68.865136
2025-11-02 3.452490 5.574680 8.952356 14.816883 24.951172 42.124175 74.235034
2025-11-09 3.187934 5.261221 8.639703 14.654963 25.336674 43.964291 79.902536
2025-11-16 2.947342 4.965248 8.327321 14.457417 25.627972 45.647581 85.444352
2025-11-23 2.711781 4.661204 7.980570 14.175820 25.756136 47.078041 90.740520
2025-11-30 2.638074 4.631793 8.105532 14.751525 27.515379 51.703485 102.836129
2025-12-07 2.508905 4.491570 8.019748 14.925704 28.524850 54.993482 112.628172
2025-12-14 2.361816 4.305888 7.834461 14.890817 29.117450 57.514944 121.109990
2025-12-21 2.209514 4.097856 7.589780 14.715839 29.407656 59.445890 128.541842
2025-12-28 2.154712 4.069480 7.681052 15.212032 31.113429 64.470552 143.441249
2026-01-04 2.088764 4.013817 7.714021 15.590793 32.607308 69.196971 158.262339
2026-01-11 2.044222 3.996299 7.819550 16.127462 34.490517 74.965755 176.282685
2026-01-18 1.902049 3.772094 7.492622 15.717970 34.251219 75.962949 182.872043
2026-01-25 1.791428 3.604070 7.267533 15.508173 34.438278 77.949273 192.168372
2026-02-01 1.693048 3.454194 7.068680 15.338192 34.698480 80.129250 202.235434